Colts vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 7, 2023
Last updated: Oct 22, 2023, 4:55PM | Published: Oct 17, 2023, 4:21AM
The Indianapolis Colts take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 7 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Colts vs Browns, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Colts vs Browns
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Indianapolis-Cleveland NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Browns a 61% chance of beating the Colts in Week 7 of the NFL season.
More: Colts vs Browns Match Centre
Colts vs Browns: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Colts $2.60, Browns $1.56
- Line: Colts +3.5 ($1.91), Browns -3.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 40 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Colts at $2.60. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Browns at $1.56.
The Colts are listed as 3.5-point underdogs against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Browns (-3.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Colts vs Browns is set at 40 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Colts (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 40 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Colts vs Browns: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $2.60 with bet365 (0.4% edge)
- Line: Colts +3.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (59% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 40 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Colts vs Browns betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Browns have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Colts to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Colts vs Browns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Browns at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 7 has the Browns prevailing 21-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Indianapolis vs Cleveland in Week 7, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Colts vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs Browns? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Browns.
Taylor has a 10.6% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 41.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 10.6% probability
- Zack Moss: 7.1% probability
- Michael Pittman: 6.9% probability
- Josh Downs: 4.7% probability
- Drew Ogletree: 4.2% probability
Browns First TD Tips
- Jerome Ford: 10.4% probability
- Amari Cooper: 10.0% probability
- Elijah Moore: 7.7% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 7.4% probability
- Deshaun Watson: 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 41.2% probability
- Michael Pittman: 28.9% probability
- Zack Moss: 28.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 20.6% probability
- Drew Ogletree: 18.3% probability
Browns Anytime TD Tips
- Jerome Ford: 39.4% probability
- Amari Cooper: 36.9% probability
- Elijah Moore: 30.5% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 30.2% probability
- Deshaun Watson: 21.4% probability
Colts-Browns Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Gardner Minshew is projected for 208 passing yards, while the Browns' Deshaun Watson is expected to throw for 244 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Gardner Minshew: 208 projected passing yards
Browns Starting QB
- Deshaun Watson: 244 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 59 projected yards
- Zack Moss: 36 projected yards
- Gardner Minshew: 14 projected yards
Browns Rushing Yards
- Jerome Ford: 60 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 27 projected yards
- Deshaun Watson: 24 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 49 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 39 projected yards
- Drew Ogletree: 23 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 22 projected yards
- Will Mallory: 11 projected yards
Browns Receiving Yards
- Amari Cooper: 62 projected yards
- Elijah Moore: 41 projected yards
- David Njoku: 37 projected yards
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 31 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 17 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Indianapolis vs Cleveland match-up at Lucas Oil Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Colts vs Browns: Week 7 Preview
The NFL Week 7 game between the Colts and Browns at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns
- Date: Monday 23 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Indianapolis vs Cleveland are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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