Colts vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2024
Last updated: Nov 24, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 18, 2024, 12:26AM
The Indianapolis Colts will take on the favoured Detroit Lions in NFL Week 12 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Colts vs Lions game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Indianapolis vs Detroit NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 73% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 12 of the NFL season.
Colts vs Lions: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Colts $3.70, Lions $1.29
- Line: Colts +7 ($1.91), Lions -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $3.70 and the Lions at $1.29.
The Colts are 7-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Colts and the Lions have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 50.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Colts vs Lions: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $3.70 with Bet365
- Line: Lions -7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Colts to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Colts vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 12 is the Lions winning 28-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Detroit game in Week 12, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Colts vs Lions prediction.
Colts vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs Lions? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's David Montgomery is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Colts vs Lions.
Montgomery has a 15.4% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Lions RB has a 62.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 11.0% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 8.8% probability
- Josh Downs: 5.7% probability
- Michael Pittman: 4.3% probability
- Alec Pierce: 4.0% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 15.4% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 12.0% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.9% probability
- Jameson Williams: 7.0% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 5.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 49.9% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 41.1% probability
- Josh Downs: 28.8% probability
- Michael Pittman: 23.2% probability
- Alec Pierce: 21.4% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 62.2% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 53.1% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 44.6% probability
- Jameson Williams: 33.4% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 26.6% probability
Colts-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Anthony Richardson is projected for 196 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 222 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Anthony Richardson: 196 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 222 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 79 projected yards
- Anthony Richardson: 39 projected yards
- Trey Sermon: 11 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 66 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 59 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 58 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 56 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 34 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 23 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 16 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 79 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 43 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 32 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 24 projected yards
- Tim Patrick: 19 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Indianapolis vs Detroit game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Lions: Week 12 Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 match-up between the Colts and Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 25 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Detroit predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.
