Colts vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2024
Last updated: Nov 21, 2024, 7:15AM | Published: Nov 18, 2024, 12:26AM
The Indianapolis Colts will sqaure off with the favoured Detroit Lions in NFL Week 12 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Colts vs Lions game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Indianapolis vs Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 73% chance of winning against the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Colts vs Lions: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Lucas Oil Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Colts $4.00, Lions $1.26
- Line: Colts +7.5 ($1.91), Lions -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Colts at $4.00 and the Lions at $1.26.
The Colts are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Colts and the Lions have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 50.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Colts vs Lions: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $4.00 with Bet365
- Line: Lions -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Colts to win is our preferred option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Colts vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Colts vs Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 12 is the Lions winning 28-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indianapolis vs Detroit game in Week 12, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Colts vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs Lions? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's David Montgomery is the most likely player to score the first TD in Colts vs Lions.
Montgomery has a 15.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Lions RB has a 60.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 11.0% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 8.2% probability
- Josh Downs: 5.9% probability
- Alec Pierce: 4.1% probability
- Michael Pittman: 4.0% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 15.1% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 12.8% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.7% probability
- Jameson Williams: 6.5% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 5.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 49.4% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 39.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 29.8% probability
- Alec Pierce: 21.7% probability
- Michael Pittman: 21.1% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 60.2% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 54.6% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 40.6% probability
- Jameson Williams: 32.4% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 28.2% probability
Colts-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Anthony Richardson is projected for 181 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 219 yards.
Colts Starting QB
- Anthony Richardson: 181 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 219 projected passing yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 79 projected yards
- Anthony Richardson: 36 projected yards
- Trey Sermon: 12 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 62 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 61 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Josh Downs: 56 projected yards
- Michael Pittman: 51 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 34 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 23 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 16 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 75 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 39 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 33 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 23 projected yards
- Tim Patrick: 19 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Indianapolis vs Detroit match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Colts vs Lions: Week 12 Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 match-up between the Colts and Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 25 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Indianapolis vs Detroit predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.
