Commanders vs 49ers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2023
Last updated: Dec 31, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 26, 2023, 5:51AM
The Washington Commanders will face the favoured San Francisco 49ers in NFL Week 17 action at FedExField on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Commanders vs 49ers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Commanders vs 49ers
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Washington-San Francisco NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the 49ers an 84% chance of beating the Commanders at FedExField.
More: Commanders vs 49ers Match Centre
Commanders vs 49ers: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at FedExField are shown below:
- Head to Head: Commanders $8.20, 49ers $1.13
- Line: Commanders +14 ($2.02), 49ers -14 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.99
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Commanders at $8.20 and the 49ers at $1.13.
The Commanders are listed as 14-point underdogs against the 49ers, with odds of $2.02 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite 49ers (-14) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for Commanders vs 49ers has been set at 48.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.99.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+14) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 48.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Commanders vs 49ers game is Betfair, where you can bet against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Commanders vs 49ers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $8.20 with Betfair (3.9% edge)
- Line: Commanders +14 at $2.02 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.99 with Betfair (52% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.
These Commanders vs 49ers best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the 49ers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the 3.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
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Commanders vs 49ers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs 49ers at FedExField in Week 17 has the 49ers winning 29-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs San Francisco in Week 17, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Commanders vs 49ers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs 49ers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs 49ers.
McCaffrey has a 25.2% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the 49ers RB has a 79.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 6.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.1% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 5.0% probability
- Curtis Samuel: 4.1% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 3.8% probability
49ers First TD Tips
- Christian McCaffrey: 25.2% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 11.1% probability
- Brandon Aiyuk: 10.9% probability
- George Kittle: 7.1% probability
- Elijah Mitchell: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 32.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 26.5% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 25.4% probability
- Curtis Samuel: 21.7% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 20.3% probability
49ers Anytime TD Tips
- Christian McCaffrey: 79.8% probability
- Brandon Aiyuk: 47.6% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 47.0% probability
- George Kittle: 33.4% probability
- Elijah Mitchell: 25.9% probability
Commanders-49ers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 264 passing yards. The 49ers' Brock Purdy is expected to throw for 274 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Sam Howell: 264 projected passing yards
49ers Starting QB
- Brock Purdy: 274 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 48 projected yards
- Sam Howell: 22 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 15 projected yards
49ers Rushing Yards
- Christian McCaffrey: 92 projected yards
- Elijah Mitchell: 15 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 13 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 64 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 36 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 34 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 29 projected yards
- Logan Thomas: 25 projected yards
49ers Receiving Yards
- Brandon Aiyuk: 72 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 57 projected yards
- George Kittle: 53 projected yards
- Christian McCaffrey: 35 projected yards
- Kyle Juszczyk: 12 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs San Francisco game at FedExField.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Commanders vs 49ers: Week 17 Preview
The NFL Week 17 game between the Commanders and 49ers at FedExField is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers
- Date: Monday 1 January 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: FedExField
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Washington vs San Francisco predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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