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Commanders vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2023

The Washington Commanders take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 5 action at FedExField on Friday, beginning at 11:15am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Commanders vs Bears, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs Bears

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Washington-Chicago NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Commanders a 73% chance of beating the Bears in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Commanders vs Bears Match Centre

Commanders vs Bears: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at FedExField are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Commanders $1.38, Bears $3.20
  • Line: Commanders -6 ($1.91), Bears +6 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 45 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.38. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Bears at $3.20.

The Commanders are listed as 6-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.

For the underdog Bears (+6) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (-6) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 45 points has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Commanders vs Bears: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Washington at $1.38 with bet365 (73% probability)
  • Line: Commanders -6 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 45 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)

Today's Commanders vs Bears best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

Commanders vs Bears: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Bears at FedExField in Week 5 has the Commanders winning 26-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs Chicago in Week 5, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Bears? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Washington's Brian Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Commanders vs Bears.

Robinson has an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Commanders RB has a 47.4% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders First TD Tips

  • Brian Robinson: 11.6% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 7.8% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 7.2% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 6.1% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 5.9% probability

Bears First TD Tips

  • Justin Fields: 11.0% probability
  • DJ Moore: 7.5% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 7.4% probability
  • Roschon Johnson: 6.0% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 4.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

  • Brian Robinson: 47.4% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 34.0% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 31.8% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 28.0% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 26.1% probability

Bears Anytime TD Tips

  • Justin Fields: 45.4% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 33.9% probability
  • DJ Moore: 32.5% probability
  • Roschon Johnson: 28.5% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 21.9% probability

Commanders-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 198 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

  • Sam Howell: 238 projected passing yards

Bears Starting QB

  • Justin Fields: 198 projected passing yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

  • Brian Robinson: 58 projected yards
  • Sam Howell: 19 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 16 projected yards

Bears Rushing Yards

  • Khalil Herbert: 62 projected yards
  • Justin Fields: 57 projected yards
  • Roschon Johnson: 25 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

  • Terry McLaurin: 68 projected yards
  • Jahan Dotson: 46 projected yards
  • Curtis Samuel: 36 projected yards
  • Logan Thomas: 29 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 18 projected yards

Bears Receiving Yards

  • DJ Moore: 66 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 41 projected yards
  • Darnell Mooney: 35 projected yards
  • Robert Tonyan: 15 projected yards
  • Khalil Herbert: 14 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Chicago match-up at FedExField.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Commanders vs Bears: Week 5 Preview

The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Commanders and Bears at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 11:15am AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Washington vs Chicago have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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