Commanders vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 6, 2024, 5:00PM | Published: Sep 30, 2024, 12:00AM
The Washington Commanders will face the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 5 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Commanders vs Browns game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington vs Cleveland NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Commanders a 63% chance of beating the Browns at Northwest Stadium.
Commanders vs Browns: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $1.64, Browns $2.30
- Line: Commanders -3 ($1.91), Browns +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.64 and the Browns at $2.30.
The Commanders are listed as 3-point favourites against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Browns (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Commanders and the Browns have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Commanders vs Browns: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $1.64 with Bet365
- Line: Browns +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Commanders vs Browns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Browns at Northwest Stadium in Week 5 is the Commanders winning 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Cleveland game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Commanders vs Browns prediction.
Commanders vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Browns? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Washington's Jayden Daniels is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Browns.
Daniels has an 11.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders QB has a 47.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 11.9% probability
- Brian Robinson: 11.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 9.2% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 6.7% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 4.3% probability
Browns First TD Tips
- Amari Cooper: 8.9% probability
- Deshaun Watson: 7.0% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 6.9% probability
- Jerome Ford: 6.8% probability
- David Njoku: 5.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 47.4% probability
- Brian Robinson: 46.4% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 38.6% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 30.2% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 19.9% probability
Browns Anytime TD Tips
- Amari Cooper: 38.1% probability
- Deshaun Watson: 31.2% probability
- Jerome Ford: 30.8% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 30.2% probability
- David Njoku: 26.2% probability
Commanders-Browns Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected for 187 passing yards. The Browns' Deshaun Watson is expected to throw for 212 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 187 projected passing yards
Browns Starting QB
- Deshaun Watson: 212 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 60 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 45 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 19 projected yards
Browns Rushing Yards
- Jerome Ford: 45 projected yards
- Deshaun Watson: 24 projected yards
- D'Onta Foreman: 23 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 63 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 32 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 24 projected yards
- Luke McCaffrey: 23 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 20 projected yards
Browns Receiving Yards
- Amari Cooper: 62 projected yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 48 projected yards
- David Njoku: 36 projected yards
- Elijah Moore: 26 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Cleveland game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Browns: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Commanders and Browns at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns
- Date: Monday 7 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Cleveland predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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