Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2024
Last updated: Jan 7, 2024, 9:21PM | Published: Jan 1, 2024, 9:02AM
The Washington Commanders will face the favoured Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 18 action at FedExField on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Commanders vs Cowboys game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Commanders vs Cowboys
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington-Dallas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys an 82% chance of defeating the Commanders at FedExField.
More: Commanders vs Cowboys Match Centre
Commanders vs Cowboys: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at FedExField are shown here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $7.40, Cowboys $1.15
- Line: Commanders +13.5 ($1.92), Cowboys -13.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.86, Under $2.12
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Commanders at $7.40 and the Cowboys at $1.15.
The Commanders are listed as 13.5-point underdogs against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.92 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Cowboys (-13.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.86 and odds for the Under at $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+13.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 46.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
The best site for placing bets on the Commanders vs Cowboys game is Betfair, where you can bet against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Commanders vs Cowboys: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $7.40 with Betfair (4.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: Commanders +13.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (50% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
These Commanders vs Cowboys betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Cowboys have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option because of the 4.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
What's better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.
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Commanders vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Cowboys at FedExField in Week 18 has the Cowboys winning 28-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs Dallas in Week 18, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Commanders vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs Cowboys? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Dallas' CeeDee Lamb is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Cowboys.
Lamb has a 16.0% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Cowboys WR has a 58.8% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 6.9% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.3% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 5.2% probability
- Curtis Samuel: 4.4% probability
- Sam Howell: 3.6% probability
Cowboys First TD Tips
- CeeDee Lamb: 16.0% probability
- Tony Pollard: 14.1% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 9.7% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 8.6% probability
- Dak Prescott: 5.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 32.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 26.1% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 25.6% probability
- Curtis Samuel: 21.9% probability
- Sam Howell: 18.4% probability
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- CeeDee Lamb: 58.8% probability
- Tony Pollard: 55.8% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 40.7% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 38.0% probability
- Dak Prescott: 26.4% probability
Commanders-Cowboys Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 247 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 302 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Sam Howell: 247 projected passing yards
Cowboys Starting QB
- Dak Prescott: 302 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 48 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 15 projected yards
- Sam Howell: 15 projected yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Tony Pollard: 61 projected yards
- Rico Dowdle: 17 projected yards
- Dak Prescott: 14 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 64 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 36 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 29 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 27 projected yards
- Logan Thomas: 25 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- CeeDee Lamb: 95 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 51 projected yards
- Brandin Cooks: 50 projected yards
- Tony Pollard: 26 projected yards
- Jalen Tolbert: 20 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Dallas game at FedExField.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Commanders vs Cowboys: Week 18 Preview
The NFL Week 18 game between the Commanders and Cowboys at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Monday 8 January 2024
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: FedExField
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Washington vs Dallas predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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