Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2023
Last updated: Dec 3, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 28, 2023, 1:50AM
The Washington Commanders take on the favoured Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 13 action at FedExField on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Commanders vs Dolphins, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Commanders vs Dolphins
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Washington-Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 75% chance of winning against the Commanders at FedExField.
More: Commanders vs Dolphins Match Centre
Commanders vs Dolphins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at FedExField are shown here:
- Head to Head: Commanders $4.25, Dolphins $1.25
- Line: Commanders +8.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Commanders at $4.25. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Dolphins at $1.25.
The Commanders are 8.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-8.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 49.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Commanders (+8.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 49.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Commanders vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $4.25 with bet365 (1.3% edge)
- Line: Commanders +8.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
Today's Commanders vs Dolphins betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the 1.3% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Commanders vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Dolphins at FedExField in Week 13 has the Dolphins winning 28-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Washington vs Miami in Week 13, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Commanders vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Dolphins? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's Tyreek Hill is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Dolphins.
Hill has a 13.7% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Dolphins WR has a 56.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 7.5% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.9% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 5.2% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 5.1% probability
- Logan Thomas: 4.7% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 13.7% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 11.9% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 10.8% probability
- De'Von Achane: 8.7% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 36.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 29.4% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 27.0% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 25.6% probability
- Logan Thomas: 24.3% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 56.9% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 51.3% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 46.3% probability
- De'Von Achane: 40.8% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 24.6% probability
Commanders-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 260 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 296 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Sam Howell: 260 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 296 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 49 projected yards
- Sam Howell: 18 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Raheem Mostert: 68 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 51 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 11 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 68 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 43 projected yards
- Logan Thomas: 36 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 33 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 23 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 98 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 80 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 21 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 19 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 16 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Miami match-up at FedExField.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Commanders vs Dolphins: Week 13 Preview
The NFL Week 13 match-up between the Commanders and Dolphins at FedExField is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 4 December 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: FedExField
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Washington vs Miami have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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