Commanders vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2024
Last updated: Dec 24, 2024, 6:12PM | Published: Dec 24, 2024, 1:51AM
The Washington Commanders will sqaure off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 17 action at Northwest Stadium on Monday, starting at 12:20pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Commanders vs Falcons game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington vs Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Commanders a 67% chance of defeating the Falcons at Northwest Stadium.
Commanders vs Falcons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Northwest Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Commanders $1.48, Falcons $2.75
- Line: Commanders -4 ($1.91), Falcons +4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.48 and the Falcons at $2.75.
The Commanders are listed as 4-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (-4) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Commanders vs Falcons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $1.48 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders -4 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Commanders vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Falcons at Northwest Stadium in Week 17 is the Commanders winning 26-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Atlanta game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Commanders vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Falcons? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 14.3% chance of getting in for six first at Northwest Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 56.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 11.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 10.5% probability
- Brian Robinson: 10.2% probability
- Dyami Brown: 4.4% probability
- Zach Ertz: 4.2% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.3% probability
- Drake London: 8.6% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 6.3% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 5.0% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 47.2% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 45.3% probability
- Brian Robinson: 44.6% probability
- Dyami Brown: 22.2% probability
- Zach Ertz: 21.2% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 56.6% probability
- Drake London: 38.9% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 28.8% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 24.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 22.3% probability
Commanders-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected for 194 passing yards, while the Falcons' Michael Penix is expected to throw for 206 yards.
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 194 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Michael Penix: 206 projected passing yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 61 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 42 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 17 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 87 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 32 projected yards
- Michael Penix: 15 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 69 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 37 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 34 projected yards
- Brian Robinson: 25 projected yards
- Jamison Crowder: 22 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 73 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 52 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 34 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 29 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Atlanta match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Commanders vs Falcons: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Commanders and Falcons at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 30 December 2024
- Time: 12:20pm AEDT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Atlanta predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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