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Commanders vs Giants Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2023

The Washington Commanders play the New York Giants in NFL Week 11 action at FedExField on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Commanders vs Giants, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs Giants

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Washington-NY Giants NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders an 85% chance of winning against the Giants in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Commanders vs Giants Simulated 10,000 Times

Commanders vs Giants: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at FedExField are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Commanders $1.27, Giants $4.10
  • Line: Commanders -8 ($1.91), Giants +8 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 39 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Commanders at $1.27. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Giants at $4.10.

The Commanders are 8-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.

For the underdog Giants (+8) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 39 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (-8) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 39-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Commanders vs Giants: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Washington at $1.27 with bet365 (85% probability) 🔥
  • Line: Commanders -8 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 39 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)

When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Stats Insider's Commanders vs Giants betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

Commanders vs Giants: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Commanders vs Giants at FedExField in Week 11 has the Commanders winning 24-15.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs NY Giants in Week 11, including pre-game predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs Giants: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Giants? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, New York's Saquon Barkley is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs Giants.

Barkley has a 14.3% chance of getting in for six first at FedExField, while the Giants RB has a 51.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders First TD Tips

  • Brian Robinson: 14.1% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 8.5% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 7.5% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 6.4% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 6.3% probability

Giants First TD Tips

  • Saquon Barkley: 14.3% probability
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 6.7% probability
  • Daniel Bellinger: 5.3% probability
  • Darius Slayton: 4.1% probability
  • Jalin Hyatt: 3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

  • Brian Robinson: 49.8% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 34.0% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 30.8% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 26.3% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 25.3% probability

Giants Anytime TD Tips

  • Saquon Barkley: 51.4% probability
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 26.8% probability
  • Daniel Bellinger: 22.7% probability
  • Darius Slayton: 18.4% probability
  • Jalin Hyatt: 14.0% probability

Commanders-Giants Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected to have a big game with 304 passing yards, while the Giants' Tommy DeVito is expected to throw for just 156 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

  • Sam Howell: 304 projected passing yards

Giants Starting QB

  • Tommy DeVito: 156 projected passing yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

  • Brian Robinson: 58 projected yards
  • Chris Rodriguez: 21 projected yards
  • Sam Howell: 19 projected yards

Giants Rushing Yards

  • Saquon Barkley: 74 projected yards
  • Tommy DeVito: 19 projected yards
  • Matt Breida: 12 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

  • Terry McLaurin: 72 projected yards
  • Jahan Dotson: 45 projected yards
  • Logan Thomas: 35 projected yards
  • Curtis Samuel: 31 projected yards
  • Brian Robinson: 18 projected yards

Giants Receiving Yards

  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 41 projected yards
  • Darius Slayton: 28 projected yards
  • Daniel Bellinger: 23 projected yards
  • Jalin Hyatt: 19 projected yards
  • Saquon Barkley: 16 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs NY Giants game at FedExField.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Commanders vs Giants: Week 11 Preview

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Commanders and Giants at FedExField is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Washington vs NY Giants are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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