Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 5, 2023, 4:55AM | Published: Jul 30, 2023, 10:50PM
The Cowboys take on the Broncos in NRL Round 23 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Cowboys vs Broncos, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 23, 2023
Who Will Win: Cowboys vs Broncos
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's North Queensland-Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 51% chance of defeating the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
More: Cowboys vs Broncos Match Centre
Cowboys vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $2.00, Broncos $1.80
- Line: Cowboys +1.5 ($1.90), Broncos -1.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Cowboys at $2.00 and the Broncos at $1.80.
The Cowboys are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the favourite Broncos (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Cowboys and the Broncos have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
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More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Cowboys vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $2.00 with PointsBet
- Line: Cowboys +1.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (54% probability)
These Cowboys vs Broncos betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
We strongly recommend betting on this Cowboys vs Broncos game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create a PointsBet account today!
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium this Saturday has the Cowboys winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Cowboys vs Broncos on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Cowboys vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Cowboys vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Selwyn Cobbo is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Brisbane.
Cobbo has a 8.6% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 45.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 7.5% probability
- Semi Valemei: 6.9% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 6.0% probability
- Tom Dearden: 4.5% probability
- Kyle Feldt: 4.3% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 8.6% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 7.0% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 6.0% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.7% probability
- Ezra Mam: 4.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 40.6% probability
- Semi Valemei: 39.8% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 36.8% probability
- Tom Dearden: 28.3% probability
- Kyle Feldt: 26.7% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 45.2% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 38.3% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 34.6% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 33.6% probability
- Ezra Mam: 29.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Cowboys vs Broncos game at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Cowboys vs Broncos: Preview
The NRL Round 23 clash between the Cowboys and Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Saturday 5 August 2023
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Cowboys vs Broncos are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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