Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2025
Last updated: Jan 5, 2025, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 31, 2024, 1:51AM
The Dallas Cowboys will take on the favoured Washington Commanders in NFL Week 18 action at AT&T Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Dallas vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders a 75% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 18 of the NFL season.
Cowboys vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at AT&T Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $3.55, Commanders $1.32
- Line: Cowboys +7 ($1.91), Commanders -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $3.55 and the Commanders at $1.32.
The Cowboys are 7-point underdogs against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Commanders (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Cowboys and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Cowboys vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $1.32 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders -7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Cowboys vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Commanders at AT&T Stadium in Week 18 is the Commanders winning 25-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Dallas vs Washington game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Cowboys vs Commanders prediction.
Cowboys vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Washington's Jayden Daniels is the most likely player to score the first TD in Cowboys vs Commanders.
Daniels has a 10.4% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Commanders QB has a 42.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cowboys First TD Tips
- Rico Dowdle: 8.2% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 6.6% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 5.9% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 3.4% probability
- Jalen Tolbert: 2.6% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 10.4% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 10.3% probability
- Brian Robinson: 8.1% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 6.7% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 6.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- Rico Dowdle: 32.3% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 29.3% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 26.0% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 16.5% probability
- Jalen Tolbert: 13.3% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 42.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 41.1% probability
- Brian Robinson: 32.5% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 27.2% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 25.7% probability
Cowboys-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Trey Lance is projected for 206 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 192 yards.
Cowboys Starting QB
- Trey Lance: 206 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 192 projected passing yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Rico Dowdle: 73 projected yards
- Trey Lance: 30 projected yards
- Deuce Vaughn: 10 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 50 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 42 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 28 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- Brandin Cooks: 47 projected yards
- Jalen Tolbert: 35 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 30 projected yards
- Jalen Brooks: 20 projected yards
- KaVontae Turpin: 20 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 65 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 50 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 36 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 34 projected yards
- Jamison Crowder: 25 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Dallas vs Washington match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cowboys vs Commanders: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 game between the Cowboys and Commanders at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 6 January 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Dallas vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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