Cowboys vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2023
May 7, 2023, 10:26PM
The Cowboys square off with the Dragons in NRL Round 11 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Cowboys vs Dragons, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 11, 2023
Who Will Win: Cowboys vs Dragons
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's North Queensland-St George Illawarra NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 65% chance of beating the Dragons at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
More: Cowboys vs Dragons Simulated 10,000 Times
Cowboys vs Dragons: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $1.44, Dragons $2.80
- Line: Cowboys -7.5 ($1.90), Dragons +7.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Cowboys to win at $1.44 and the Dragons to win at $2.80.
The Cowboys are 7.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+7.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Match
Cowboys vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $2.80 with TAB
- Line: Dragons +7.5 at $1.90 with TAB (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.95 with TAB (55% probability)
Today's Cowboys vs Dragons betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Cowboys have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Dragons at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday has the Cowboys winning 23-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Cowboys vs St George on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Cowboys vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Searching for Cowboys vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Cowboys' Kyle Feldt is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs St George Illawarra.
Feldt has a 10.3% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Cowboys star has a 49.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Kyle Feldt: 10.3% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 8.2% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 6.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.9% probability
- Tom Dearden: 4.8% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.7% probability
- Ben Hunt: 3.2% probability
- Max Feagai: 2.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Kyle Feldt: 49.6% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 42.2% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 34.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 33.7% probability
- Tom Dearden: 28.3% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 41.6% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 30.0% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 28.1% probability
- Max Feagai: 21.4% probability
- Ben Hunt: 19.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Cowboys vs Dragons game at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Cowboys vs Dragons Preview
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Cowboys and Dragons at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Game: North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 13 May 2023
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Cowboys vs St George are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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