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Cowboys vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2024

The Cowboys will take on the Knights in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 7:50pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Knights game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Queensland vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys a 77% chance of defeating the Knights in the first week of NRL finals.

Cowboys vs Knights: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Cowboys $1.38, Knights $3.20
  • Line: Cowboys -8.5 ($1.91), Knights +8.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $1.38 and the Knights at $3.20.

The Cowboys are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Knights (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Cowboys (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Cowboys vs Knights: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.38 with Bet365
  • Line: Cowboys -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Our Cowboys vs Knights betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Cowboys vs Knights: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Knights at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday is the Cowboys winning 27-16.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cowboys vs Knights match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Cowboys vs Knights: Try Scorers

Looking for Cowboys vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Cowboys' Kyle Feldt is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs Newcastle.

Feldt has a 11.0% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Cowboys star has a 55.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Kyle Feldt: 11.0% probability
  • Murray Taulagi: 7.6% probability
  • Valentine Holmes: 6.5% probability
  • Jeremiah Nanai: 6.3% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 5.6% probability

Newcastle Knights

  • Greg Marzhew: 6.8% probability
  • Fletcher Sharpe: 6.6% probability
  • Kalyn Ponga: 4.3% probability
  • Dylan Lucas: 3.9% probability
  • Dane Gagai: 3.5% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

North Queensland Cowboys

  • Kyle Feldt: 55.8% probability
  • Murray Taulagi: 42.1% probability
  • Jeremiah Nanai: 39.0% probability
  • Valentine Holmes: 38.8% probability
  • Scott Drinkwater: 33.5% probability

Newcastle Knights

  • Fletcher Sharpe: 39.4% probability
  • Greg Marzhew: 38.2% probability
  • Kalyn Ponga: 27.3% probability
  • Dylan Lucas: 27.2% probability
  • Dane Gagai: 24.0% probability

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Cowboys vs Knights match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cowboys vs Knights: Essential Details

The NRL Finals clash between the Cowboys and Knights at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Cowboys vs Knights predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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