Cowboys vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2023

Last updated: Dec 31, 2023, 1:15AM | Published: Dec 26, 2023, 2:01AM

The Dallas Cowboys will face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 17 action at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, starting at 12:15pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Cowboys vs Lions game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Cowboys vs Lions

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Dallas-Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 62% chance of winning against the Lions at AT&T Stadium.

More: Cowboys vs Lions Match Centre

Cowboys vs Lions: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at AT&T Stadium are listed here:

Head to Head: Cowboys $1.49, Lions $3.00
Line: Cowboys -4.5 ($2.00), Lions +4.5 ($1.98)
Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.93

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Cowboys at $1.49 and the Lions at $3.00.

The Cowboys are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Lions (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.

The Over/Under for Cowboys vs Lions is set at 53.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.93.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Lions (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 53.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.

The best site for placing bets on the Cowboys vs Lions game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Cowboys vs Lions: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Detroit at $3.00 with Betfair (5.5% edge) 🔥
Line: Lions +4.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (54% probability)
Total Points: Over 53.5 at $2.06 with Betfair

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.

Our Cowboys vs Lions predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Cowboys have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lions to win is our recommended option due to the 5.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 53.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.06) that are available from Betfair.

What's better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Cowboys vs Lions: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Lions at AT&T Stadium in Week 17 has the Cowboys winning 28-24.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Dallas vs Detroit in Week 17, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Cowboys vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs Lions? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Dallas' CeeDee Lamb is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs Lions.

Lamb has a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys WR has a 59.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys First TD Tips

CeeDee Lamb: 13.9% probability
Tony Pollard: 12.4% probability
Jake Ferguson: 8.2% probability
Brandin Cooks: 4.9% probability
Dak Prescott: 4.8% probability

Lions First TD Tips

David Montgomery: 9.9% probability
Jahmyr Gibbs: 9.6% probability
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7.7% probability
Sam LaPorta: 6.5% probability
Jameson Williams: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys Anytime TD Tips

CeeDee Lamb: 59.8% probability
Tony Pollard: 55.5% probability
Jake Ferguson: 41.3% probability
Brandin Cooks: 27.0% probability
Dak Prescott: 25.8% probability

Lions Anytime TD Tips

David Montgomery: 46.6% probability
Jahmyr Gibbs: 46.0% probability
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 38.8% probability
Sam LaPorta: 34.4% probability
Jameson Williams: 23.3% probability

Cowboys-Lions Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected for 295 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 283 yards.

Cowboys Starting QB

Dak Prescott: 295 projected passing yards

Lions Starting QB

Jared Goff: 283 projected passing yards

Cowboys Rushing Yards

Tony Pollard: 60 projected yards
Dak Prescott: 14 projected yards
Deuce Vaughn: 9 projected yards

Lions Rushing Yards

David Montgomery: 71 projected yards
Jahmyr Gibbs: 49 projected yards
Jared Goff: 7 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb: 93 projected yards
Brandin Cooks: 49 projected yards
Jake Ferguson: 46 projected yards
Tony Pollard: 26 projected yards
Michael Gallup: 17 projected yards

Lions Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 81 projected yards
Sam LaPorta: 54 projected yards
Josh Reynolds: 30 projected yards
Jahmyr Gibbs: 27 projected yards
Jameson Williams: 23 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Dallas vs Detroit game at AT&T Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Cowboys vs Lions: Week 17 Preview

The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Cowboys and Lions at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:15pm AEDT on Sunday.

Teams: Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions
Date: Sunday 31 December 2023
Time: 12:15pm AEDT
Venue: AT&T Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Dallas vs Detroit predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.