Cowboys vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 8:25PM | Published: Sep 26, 2023, 12:00PM
The Dallas Cowboys square off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 4 action at AT&T Stadium on Monday, beginning at 7:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Cowboys vs Patriots, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Cowboys vs Patriots
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Dallas-New England NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 73% chance of winning against the Patriots at AT&T Stadium.
More: Cowboys vs Patriots Match Centre
Cowboys vs Patriots: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at AT&T Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $1.37, Patriots $3.20
- Line: Cowboys -6 ($1.91), Patriots +6 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $1.37 and the Patriots at $3.20.
The Cowboys are 6-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+6) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Cowboys and the Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 43 points has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Cowboys vs Patriots: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dallas at $1.37 with bet365 (73% probability)
- Line: Patriots +6 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 43 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
Our Cowboys vs Patriots betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Cowboys vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Patriots at AT&T Stadium in Week 4 has the Cowboys winning 24-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Dallas vs New England in Week 4, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Cowboys vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Cowboys vs Patriots? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Dallas' Tony Pollard is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs Patriots.
Pollard has a 15.7% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB has a 56.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cowboys First TD Tips
- Tony Pollard: 15.7% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 10.6% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 6.4% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 6.0% probability
- Michael Gallup: 5.1% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.2% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.5% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.9% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 5.6% probability
- DeVante Parker: 3.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- Tony Pollard: 56.9% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 41.9% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 27.6% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 26.5% probability
- Dak Prescott: 22.7% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.4% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 28.7% probability
- Hunter Henry: 26.0% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 25.5% probability
- DeVante Parker: 17.7% probability
Cowboys-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected for 236 passing yards. The Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 218 yards.
Cowboys Starting QB
- Dak Prescott: 236 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 218 projected passing yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Tony Pollard: 81 projected yards
- Rico Dowdle: 19 projected yards
- Dak Prescott: 16 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 64 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- CeeDee Lamb: 70 projected yards
- Brandin Cooks: 49 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 39 projected yards
- Michael Gallup: 38 projected yards
- Tony Pollard: 27 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 45 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 40 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 30 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 29 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 28 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dallas vs New England game at AT&T Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Cowboys vs Patriots: Week 4 Preview
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Cowboys and Patriots at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 2 October 2023
- Time: 7:25am AEDT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Dallas vs New England are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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