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Cowboys vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024

The Dallas Cowboys will face the favoured Houston Texans in NFL Week 11 action at AT&T Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 12:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Cowboys vs Texans game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Dallas vs Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans a 75% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 11 of the NFL season.

Cowboys vs Texans: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at AT&T Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Cowboys $3.75, Texans $1.28
  • Line: Cowboys +7 ($1.91), Texans -7 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cowboys at $3.75 and the Texans at $1.28.

The Cowboys are listed as 7-point underdogs against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Texans (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (+7) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Cowboys vs Texans: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Dallas at $3.75 with Bet365
  • Line: Cowboys +7 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Stats Insider's Cowboys vs Texans betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Texans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Cowboys vs Texans: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Texans at AT&T Stadium in Week 11 is the Texans winning 24-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Dallas vs Houston game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Cowboys vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Cowboys vs Texans? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first TD in Cowboys vs Texans.

Mixon has an 18.4% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 60.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys First TD Tips

  • Rico Dowdle: 9.4% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 7.4% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 5.9% probability
  • Jalen Tolbert: 4.1% probability
  • KaVontae Turpin: 4.0% probability

Texans First TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 18.4% probability
  • Nico Collins: 12.7% probability
  • Tank Dell: 9.5% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 6.2% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Cowboys Anytime TD Tips

  • Rico Dowdle: 38.7% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 31.0% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 25.0% probability
  • KaVontae Turpin: 19.0% probability
  • Jalen Tolbert: 18.1% probability

Texans Anytime TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 60.9% probability
  • Nico Collins: 46.0% probability
  • Tank Dell: 37.1% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 24.7% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 19.0% probability

Cowboys-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Cooper Rush is projected for 182 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 293 yards.

Cowboys Starting QB

  • Cooper Rush: 182 projected passing yards

Texans Starting QB

  • C.J. Stroud: 293 projected passing yards

Cowboys Rushing Yards

  • Rico Dowdle: 63 projected yards
  • Ezekiel Elliott: 13 projected yards
  • CeeDee Lamb: 6 projected yards

Texans Rushing Yards

  • Joe Mixon: 78 projected yards
  • C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
  • Dameon Pierce: 7 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving Yards

  • CeeDee Lamb: 71 projected yards
  • Jake Ferguson: 41 projected yards
  • Jalen Tolbert: 36 projected yards
  • Rico Dowdle: 20 projected yards
  • Jalen Brooks: 15 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

  • Nico Collins: 91 projected yards
  • Tank Dell: 56 projected yards
  • Dalton Schultz: 41 projected yards
  • Joe Mixon: 23 projected yards
  • John Metchie: 16 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Dallas vs Houston game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Cowboys vs Texans: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Cowboys and Texans at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Dallas vs Houston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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