Cowboys vs Warriors Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 3, 2023
Mar 12, 2023, 7:46AM
The Cowboys face the Warriors in NRL Round 3 action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Cowboys vs Warriors, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Cowboys vs Warriors
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's North Queensland-New Zealand NRL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 70% chance of winning against the Warriors in Round 3 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Full Betting Guide for Cowboys vs Warriors
Cowboys vs Warriors Betting Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Queensland Country Bank Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Cowboys $1.30, Warriors $3.50
- Line: Cowboys -10.5 ($1.90), Warriors +10.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Cowboys to win at $1.30 and the Warriors to win at $3.50.
The Cowboys are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Warriors (+10.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+10.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Cowboys vs Warriors NRL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $3.50 with TAB (1.8% edge)
- Line: Warriors +10.5 at $1.90 with TAB (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.90 with TAB (53% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Cowboys vs Warriors betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Cowboys have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our recommended option due to the 1.8% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Cowboys vs Warriors NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cowboys vs Warriors at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday has the Cowboys prevailing 26-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Cowboys vs Warriors on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Cowboys vs Warriors Try Scorers
Searching for Cowboys vs Warriors try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Cowboys' Kyle Feldt is the most likely player to score the first try in North Queensland vs New Zealand.
Feldt has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while the Cowboys star has a 52.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Kyle Feldt: 9.3% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 8.6% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 7.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.6% probability
- Tom Chester: 4.8% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 6.1% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 5.3% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 4.3% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 3.4% probability
- Te Maire: 2.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
North Queensland Cowboys
- Kyle Feldt: 52.3% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 46.6% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 39.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 32.8% probability
- Tom Chester: 30.8% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 35.3% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 32.1% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 24.7% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 22.5% probability
- Te Maire: 20.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Cowboys vs Warriors game at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Cowboys vs Warriors NRL 2023
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Cowboys and Warriors at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: North Queensland Cowboys vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 18 March 2023
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEDT
- Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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