Croatia vs Belgium World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Nov 20, 2022, 7:11PM

Croatia takes on Belgium in Group F of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Ahmad bin Ali Stadium in Qatar on Friday, starting at 2:00am AEDT.

The FIFA World Cup is the biggest and best soccer tournament in the world, and Belgium and Croatia are among the 32 nations taking part in Qatar in 2022.

Group F at the World Cup 2022 includes Belgium, Canada, Morocco, and Croatia. The top two nations from each group progress to the second round.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Croatia vs Belgium, plus the latest betting odds via Betfair, are detailed below.

Who will win? Croatia vs Belgium

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Croatia-Belgium World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives Croatia a 35.5% chance of winning, Belgium a 38.1% chance of winning, and the draw a 26.3% chance of occurring.

More: Croatia vs Belgium Simulated 10,000 Times

Croatia vs Belgium World Cup Odds

Result: Croatia $3.20, Belgium $2.46, Draw $3.50
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $2.10, Under $1.89

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Betfair currently has Croatia's odds to win at $3.20, with Belgium's odds to win at $2.46, and odds for the draw at $3.50 if you think the game will be tied up after 90 minutes.

For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Belgium vs Croatia game, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and the Under at $1.89.

According to Stats Insider's model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

Croatia vs Belgium Betting Tips

Result: Croatia at $3.20 with Betfair (4.3% edge) 🔥 Total Goals:* Over 2.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (0.7% edge)

Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips today across any sport.

These predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.

Betting on Croatia to win is our recommended option due to the 4.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.10) that are available from Betfair.

For the top betting value throughout the World Cup, we recommend betting with Betfair.

Croatia vs Belgium Best Bets

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Belgium vs Croatia at the FIFA World Cup, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Belgium vs Croatia Goalscorers

Who will score a goal in Belgium vs Croatia? The latest data is in.

The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Belgium and Croatia are listed below.

According to Stats Insider, Michy Batshuayi is the most likely player to score the first goal in Belgium vs Croatia.

Batshuayi has a 16.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, while the Belgium star has a 39.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Belgium

Michy Batshuayi: 16.5% probability
Michy Batshuayi: 15.2% probability
Michy Batshuayi: 12.5% probability
Eden Hazard: 10.5% probability
Kevin De Bruyne: 10.5% probability

Croatia

Andrej Kramarić: 13.0% probability
Andrej Kramarić: 12.9% probability
Ivan Perišić: 10.6% probability
Ivan Perišić: 10.5% probability
Marko Livaja: 8.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Belgium

Michy Batshuayi: 39.4% probability
Michy Batshuayi: 34.1% probability
Michy Batshuayi: 29.5% probability
Eden Hazard: 27.5% probability
Kevin De Bruyne: 27.4% probability

Croatia

Andrej Kramarić: 29.8% probability
Andrej Kramarić: 29.6% probability
Ivan Perišić: 25.8% probability
Ivan Perišić: 25.1% probability
Marko Livaja: 23.4% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest expert analysis before the Belgium vs Croatia game at Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.

As always, see our Value Summary for the best tips on every World Cup 2022 game, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.

How to Watch Croatia vs Belgium World Cup 2022 in Australia

Friday's soccer World Cup action between Croatia and Belgium at Ahmad bin Ali Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to commence at 2:00am AEDT on Friday.

Game: Croatia vs Belgium
Date: Friday 2 December 2022
Time: 2:00am AEDT
Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures odds for every stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ready to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022 now? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.