Dolphins vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2024
Last updated: Jan 8, 2024, 1:21AM | Published: Jan 1, 2024, 5:05AM
The Miami Dolphins will face the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 18 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, commencing at 12:20pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Dolphins vs Bills game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Dolphins vs Bills
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami-Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bills a 59% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 18 of the NFL season.
More: Dolphins vs Bills Match Centre
Dolphins vs Bills: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $2.38, Bills $1.71
- Line: Dolphins +2.5 ($2.08), Bills -2.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.85
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Dolphins at $2.38 and the Bills at $1.71.
The Dolphins are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Bills, with odds of $2.08 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bills (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Dolphins vs Bills has been set at 48.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Bills have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 48.5 points has a 56% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Dolphins vs Bills game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Dolphins vs Bills: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.71 with Betfair (59% probability)
- Line: Dolphins +2.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.85 with Betfair (56% probability)
Our Dolphins vs Bills best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
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Dolphins vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 18 has the Bills winning 24-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs Buffalo in Week 18, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Dolphins vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's James Cook is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Bills.
Cook has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Bills RB has a 51.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 12.4% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 12.2% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 5.1% probability
- Durham Smythe: 4.1% probability
- Cedrick Wilson: 3.8% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- James Cook: 12.6% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 9.8% probability
- Josh Allen: 7.7% probability
- Gabe Davis: 6.9% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 54.1% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 50.1% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 25.3% probability
- Durham Smythe: 20.1% probability
- Cedrick Wilson: 20.0% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 51.7% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 43.7% probability
- Josh Allen: 35.3% probability
- Gabe Davis: 32.0% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 26.9% probability
Dolphins-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 265 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 266 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 265 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 266 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 107 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 18 projected yards
- Tyreek Hill: 9 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 64 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 20 projected yards
- Ty Johnson: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 102 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 36 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 30 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 25 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 16 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 64 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 36 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 32 projected yards
- Khalil Shakir: 28 projected yards
- James Cook: 23 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Buffalo game at Hard Rock Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Dolphins vs Bills: Week 18 Preview
The NFL Week 18 game between the Dolphins and Bills at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 8 January 2024
- Time: 12:20pm AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Miami vs Buffalo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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