Dolphins vs Broncos Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 4, 2023
Mar 20, 2023, 12:15AM
The Dolphins square off with the favoured Broncos in NRL Round 4 action at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Dolphins vs Broncos, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Dolphins vs Broncos
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Dolphins-Brisbane NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 71% chance of beating the Dolphins in Round 4 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Dolphins vs Broncos Simulated 10K Times
Dolphins vs Broncos Betting Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $3.80, Broncos $1.27
- Line: Dolphins +12.5 ($1.85), Broncos -12.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dolphins to win at $3.80 and the Broncos to win at $1.27.
The Dolphins are listed as 12.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Broncos (-12.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (+12.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Match
Dolphins vs Broncos NRL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $3.80 with TAB (2.2% edge)
- Line: Dolphins +12.5 at $1.85 with TAB (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.85 with TAB (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Dolphins vs Broncos betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option due to the 2.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Dolphins vs Broncos NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Broncos at Suncorp Stadium on Friday has the Broncos winning 28-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Dolphins vs Broncos on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Dolphins vs Broncos Try Scorers
Searching for Dolphins vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Selwyn Cobbo is the most likely player to score the first try in Dolphins vs Brisbane.
Cobbo has a 9.4% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 54.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins First Try Scorer Tips
- Tesi Niu: 6.1% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 5.0% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 4.8% probability
- Euan Aitken: 3.8% probability
- Brenko Lee: 3.0% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 9.4% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 7.7% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 7.7% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 6.6% probability
- Reece Walsh: 5.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime Try Scorer Tips
- Tesi Niu: 37.3% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 32.7% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 32.7% probability
- Euan Aitken: 25.5% probability
- Brenko Lee: 20.9% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 54.1% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 44.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 42.5% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 40.6% probability
- Reece Walsh: 36.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dolphins vs Broncos game at Suncorp Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Dolphins vs Broncos NRL 2023
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Dolphins and Broncos at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: Dolphins vs Broncos
- Date: Friday 24 March 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
More About NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
