Dolphins vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023

Last updated: Dec 24, 2023, 9:21PM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:07AM

The Miami Dolphins will play the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 16 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Dolphins vs Cowboys game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Dolphins vs Cowboys

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami-Dallas NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 57% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Dolphins vs Cowboys Match Centre

Dolphins vs Cowboys: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are listed below:

Head to Head: Dolphins $1.80, Cowboys $2.22
Line: Dolphins -1.5 ($1.89), Cowboys +1.5 ($2.02)
Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $2.02

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Dolphins at $1.80 and the Cowboys at $2.22.

The Dolphins are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.89 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Cowboys (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.

The Over/Under for Dolphins vs Cowboys is set at 48.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 48.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.

The best site to place a bet on the Dolphins vs Cowboys game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Dolphins vs Cowboys: Best Bets

Head to Head: Miami at $1.80 with Betfair (57% probability)
Line: Cowboys +1.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Under 48.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.

Our Dolphins vs Cowboys best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

What could be better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Dolphins vs Cowboys: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Cowboys at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 16 has the Dolphins winning 24-23.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Miami vs Dallas in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Dolphins vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Cowboys? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Miami's Raheem Mostert is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Cowboys.

Mostert has a 12.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 51.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Dolphins First TD Tips

Raheem Mostert: 12.2% probability
Tyreek Hill: 10.0% probability
De'Von Achane: 9.0% probability
Jaylen Waddle: 7.9% probability
Durham Smythe: 3.8% probability

Cowboys First TD Tips

Tony Pollard: 12.2% probability
CeeDee Lamb: 12.2% probability
Jake Ferguson: 7.0% probability
Brandin Cooks: 4.4% probability
Dak Prescott: 3.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Dolphins Anytime TD Tips

Raheem Mostert: 51.8% probability
Tyreek Hill: 45.3% probability
De'Von Achane: 41.0% probability
Jaylen Waddle: 36.8% probability
Durham Smythe: 18.8% probability

Cowboys Anytime TD Tips

Tony Pollard: 53.1% probability
CeeDee Lamb: 51.6% probability
Jake Ferguson: 32.2% probability
Brandin Cooks: 22.7% probability
Dak Prescott: 19.9% probability

Dolphins-Cowboys Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 282 passing yards. The Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 260 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

Tua Tagovailoa: 282 projected passing yards

Cowboys Starting QB

Dak Prescott: 260 projected passing yards

Dolphins Rushing Yards

Raheem Mostert: 70 projected yards
De'Von Achane: 37 projected yards
Jeff Wilson: 10 projected yards

Cowboys Rushing Yards

Tony Pollard: 59 projected yards
Rico Dowdle: 16 projected yards
Dak Prescott: 13 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill: 82 projected yards
Jaylen Waddle: 68 projected yards
Cedrick Wilson: 26 projected yards
Durham Smythe: 21 projected yards
De'Von Achane: 18 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb: 85 projected yards
Brandin Cooks: 45 projected yards
Jake Ferguson: 39 projected yards
Tony Pollard: 24 projected yards
Jalen Tolbert: 18 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Dallas game at Hard Rock Stadium.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Dolphins vs Cowboys: Week 16 Preview

The NFL Week 16 game between the Dolphins and Cowboys at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.

Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys
Date: Monday 25 December 2023
Time: 8:25am AEDT
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Miami vs Dallas predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.