Dolphins vs Dragons: Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 13, 2023
Last updated: May 25, 2023, 9:50AM | Published: May 21, 2023, 10:31PM
The Dolphins take on the Dragons in NRL Round 13 action at Kayo Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Dolphins vs Dragons, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 13, 2023
Who Will Win: Dolphins vs Dragons
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Dolphins-St George Illawarra NRL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 63% chance of winning against the Dragons in Round 13 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Free Betting Guide for Dolphins vs Dragons
Dolphins vs Dragons: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at Kayo Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $1.50, Dragons $2.60
- Line: Dolphins -6.5 ($1.95), Dragons +6.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dolphins to win at $1.50 and the Dragons to win at $2.60.
The Dolphins are 6.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.95 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for Dolphins vs Dragons is set at 45.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Dragons have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 45.5 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Dolphins vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $2.60 with TAB
- Line: Dolphins -6.5 at $1.95 with TAB (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.90 with TAB (50% probability)
Stats Insider's Dolphins vs Dragons predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Dolphins vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Dragons at Kayo Stadium this Thursday has the Dolphins prevailing 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Dolphins vs St George on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Dolphins vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Looking for Dolphins vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dolphins' Tesi Niu is the most likely player to score the first try in Dolphins vs St George Illawarra.
Niu has a 9.1% chance of scoring the first try at Kayo Stadium, while the Dolphins star has a 47.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Tesi Niu: 9.1% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 8.6% probability
- Kodi Nikorima: 6.1% probability
- Euan Aitken: 6.1% probability
- Connelly Lemuelu: 3.8% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.4% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.6% probability
- Zac Lomax: 4.0% probability
- Jack Bird: 2.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Tesi Niu: 47.8% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 46.7% probability
- Kodi Nikorima: 35.9% probability
- Euan Aitken: 35.7% probability
- Connelly Lemuelu: 26.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 44.4% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 32.3% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 30.3% probability
- Zac Lomax: 25.6% probability
- Mosese Suli: 19.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Dolphins vs Dragons match at Kayo Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Dolphins vs Dragons: Preview
The NRL Round 13 clash between the Dolphins and Dragons at Kayo Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Thursday 25 May 2023
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: Kayo Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Dolphins vs St George are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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