Dolphins vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2024
Last updated: Sep 8, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Aug 21, 2024, 2:11PM
The Miami Dolphins will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 1 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dolphins vs Jaguars game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 60% chance of beating the Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium.
Dolphins vs Jaguars: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $1.53, Jaguars $2.60
- Line: Dolphins -3.5 ($1.91), Jaguars +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $1.53 and the Jaguars at $2.60.
The Dolphins are 3.5-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Jaguars (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Dolphins vs Jaguars: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $2.60 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Dolphins vs Jaguars best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jaguars to win is our recommended option because of the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Dolphins vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 1 is the Dolphins winning 26-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Jacksonville game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Dolphins vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Jaguars? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's Tyreek Hill is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Jaguars.
Hill has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins WR has a 45.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 10.1% probability
- De'Von Achane: 9.7% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 9.0% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 6.7% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 4.5% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 9.5% probability
- Christian Kirk: 7.1% probability
- Gabe Davis: 6.1% probability
- Brian Thomas: 5.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 5.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 45.9% probability
- De'Von Achane: 43.7% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 41.1% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 32.3% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 22.6% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 43.4% probability
- Christian Kirk: 34.0% probability
- Gabe Davis: 30.4% probability
- Brian Thomas: 29.6% probability
- Evan Engram: 27.2% probability
Dolphins-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 258 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 246 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 258 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 246 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 63 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 55 projected yards
- Jaylen Wright: 16 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 57 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 10 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 96 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 71 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 32 projected yards
- Braxton Berrios: 21 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 20 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Christian Kirk: 62 projected yards
- Brian Thomas: 47 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 46 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 45 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Jacksonville game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Jaguars: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 game between the Dolphins and Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday 9 September 2024
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Jacksonville predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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