Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2024
Last updated: Nov 24, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 17, 2024, 6:01PM
The Miami Dolphins will sqaure off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 12 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dolphins vs Patriots game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 75% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 12 of the NFL season.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $1.26, Patriots $4.00
- Line: Dolphins -7.5 ($1.91), Patriots +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $1.26 and the Patriots at $4.00.
The Dolphins are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Patriots (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New England at $4.00 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 12 is the Dolphins winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs New England game in Week 12, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Dolphins vs Patriots prediction.
Dolphins vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Patriots? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's De'Von Achane is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Patriots.
Achane has a 14.8% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 57.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 14.8% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 10.2% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 7.5% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 5.8% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 4.1% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.5% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 5.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.6% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 4.6% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 57.1% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 41.8% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 33.0% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 26.2% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 19.4% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.4% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 26.8% probability
- Hunter Henry: 26.2% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 22.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 21.7% probability
Dolphins-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 250 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 188 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 250 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 188 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 70 projected yards
- Jaylen Wright: 21 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 18 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 56 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 12 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 70 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 47 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 44 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 32 projected yards
- Odell Beckham: 21 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeMario Douglas: 45 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 41 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 40 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 33 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 22 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Miami vs New England match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Week 12 Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 game between the Dolphins and Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 25 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs New England predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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