Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 8, 2023
Last updated: Oct 29, 2023, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 24, 2023, 12:47PM
The Miami Dolphins square off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 8 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Dolphins vs Patriots, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Dolphins vs Patriots
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Miami-New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 78% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 8 of the NFL season.
More: Dolphins vs Patriots Match Centre
Dolphins vs Patriots: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $1.28, Patriots $4.00
- Line: Dolphins -7.5 ($1.91), Patriots +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $1.28. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Patriots at $4.00.
The Dolphins are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+7.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 46.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 46.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Dolphins vs Patriots: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.28 with bet365 (78% probability)
- Line: Dolphins -7.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
These Dolphins vs Patriots betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 8 has the Dolphins winning 26-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs New England in Week 8, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Dolphins vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Patriots? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's Raheem Mostert is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Patriots.
Mostert has a 14.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 55.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Raheem Mostert: 14.1% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 14.0% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 9.2% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 7.5% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 5.4% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.6% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.6% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 6.1% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.3% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 55.5% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 55.5% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 38.7% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 33.3% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 25.0% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 42.1% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 31.0% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 28.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.4% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 14.1% probability
Dolphins-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 310 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 182 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 310 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 182 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Raheem Mostert: 66 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 17 projected yards
- Salvon Ahmed: 9 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 60 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 32 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 8 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 91 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 74 projected yards
- Braxton Berrios: 23 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 22 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 20 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 54 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 30 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 27 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 23 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs New England match-up at Hard Rock Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Week 8 Preview
The NFL Week 8 game between the Dolphins and Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 30 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Miami vs New England are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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