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Dolphins vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024

The Miami Dolphins will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 11 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Dolphins vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Miami vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 76% chance of winning against the Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium.

Dolphins vs Raiders: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Dolphins $1.24, Raiders $4.25
  • Line: Dolphins -7.5 ($1.91), Raiders +7.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $1.24 and the Raiders at $4.25.

The Dolphins are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Raiders (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Raiders (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Dolphins vs Raiders: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Las Vegas at $4.25 with Bet365
  • Line: Raiders +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Today's Dolphins vs Raiders predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Raiders to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Dolphins vs Raiders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 11 is the Dolphins winning 25-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs Las Vegas game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Dolphins vs Raiders prediction.

Dolphins vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Raiders? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Miami's De'Von Achane is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Raiders.

Achane has a 14.2% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 54.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Dolphins First TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 14.2% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 9.2% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 6.5% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 6.1% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 5.7% probability

Raiders First TD Tips

  • Brock Bowers: 8.2% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 6.7% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 6.2% probability
  • Tre Tucker: 5.2% probability
  • DJ Turner: 4.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Dolphins Anytime TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 54.1% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 38.1% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 28.4% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 26.6% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 25.7% probability

Raiders Anytime TD Tips

  • Brock Bowers: 36.0% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 30.9% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 27.7% probability
  • Tre Tucker: 23.5% probability
  • DJ Turner: 22.9% probability

Dolphins-Raiders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 245 passing yards. The Raiders' Gardner Minshew is expected to throw for 209 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 245 projected passing yards

Raiders Starting QB

  • Gardner Minshew: 209 projected passing yards

Dolphins Rushing Yards

  • De'Von Achane: 65 projected yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 32 projected yards
  • Jaylen Wright: 23 projected yards

Raiders Rushing Yards

  • Alexander Mattison: 33 projected yards
  • Zamir White: 25 projected yards
  • Ameer Abdullah: 9 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving Yards

  • Tyreek Hill: 66 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 47 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 42 projected yards
  • De'Von Achane: 32 projected yards
  • Odell Beckham: 21 projected yards

Raiders Receiving Yards

  • Jakobi Meyers: 55 projected yards
  • Brock Bowers: 51 projected yards
  • Tre Tucker: 30 projected yards
  • DJ Turner: 22 projected yards
  • Michael Mayer: 15 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Las Vegas game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Dolphins vs Raiders: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Dolphins and Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Miami vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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