Dolphins vs Storm: Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2023
Last updated: May 20, 2023, 9:35AM | Published: May 18, 2023, 11:50PM
The Dolphins take on the favoured Storm in NRL Round 12 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 7:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Dolphins vs Storm, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 12, 2023
Who Will Win: Dolphins vs Storm
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Dolphins-Melbourne NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 63% chance of defeating the Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium.
More: Dolphins vs Storm Simulated 10K Times
Dolphins vs Storm: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $2.75, Storm $1.45
- Line: Dolphins +6.5 ($1.85), Storm -6.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dolphins to win at $2.75 and the Storm to win at $1.45.
The Dolphins are 6.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Storm (-6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Dolphins vs Storm sits at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (+6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 42.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Dolphins vs Storm: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $2.75 with TAB (0.2% edge)
- Line: Storm -6.5 at $1.95 with TAB
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $2.00 with TAB (51% probability)
These Dolphins vs Storm betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Even though the Dolphins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Storm -6.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Dolphins vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Storm at Suncorp Stadium this Saturday has the Storm winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Dolphins vs Storm on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Dolphins vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Dolphins vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Dolphins vs Melbourne.
Coates has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Storm star has a 46.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Tesi Niu: 6.3% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 6.0% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 5.6% probability
- Euan Aitken: 4.0% probability
- Connelly Lemuelu: 3.1% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 8.9% probability
- Nick Meaney: 6.6% probability
- Will Warbrick: 6.4% probability
- Justin Olam: 5.2% probability
- Cameron Munster: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Tesi Niu: 37.3% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 36.6% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 32.9% probability
- Euan Aitken: 27.0% probability
- Connelly Lemuelu: 20.2% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 46.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 38.0% probability
- Will Warbrick: 37.7% probability
- Justin Olam: 31.2% probability
- Cameron Munster: 29.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Dolphins vs Storm game at Suncorp Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Dolphins vs Storm: Preview
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Dolphins and Storm at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Game: Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Saturday 20 May 2023
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Dolphins vs Storm have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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