Dragons vs Dolphins Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 5, 2023
Mar 27, 2023, 8:30AM
The Dragons play the Dolphins in NRL Round 5 action at WIN Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Dragons vs Dolphins, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Dragons vs Dolphins
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St George Illawarra-Dolphins NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dragons a 52% chance of beating the Dolphins in Round 5 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Dragons vs Dolphins
Dragons vs Dolphins NRL Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $1.80, Dolphins $2.00
- Line: Dragons -1.5 ($1.85), Dolphins +1.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dragons to win at $1.80 and the Dolphins to win at $2.00.
The Dragons are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Dolphins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Dragons vs Dolphins sits at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 42.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every NRL Game
Dragons vs Dolphins NRL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Dolphins +1.5 at $1.95 with TAB (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.85 with TAB (54% probability)
Our Dragons vs Dolphins betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dragons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Dragons vs Dolphins Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Dragons vs Dolphins at WIN Stadium this Saturday is Dolphins 20-20 Dragons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St George vs Dolphins on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Dragons vs Dolphins Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Dolphins try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Mikaele Ravalawa is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Dolphins.
Ravalawa has a 9.2% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 48.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 9.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.5% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 6.4% probability
- Zac Lomax: 4.6% probability
- Ben Hunt: 4.5% probability
Dolphins First Try Scorer Tips
- Jamayne Isaako: 6.2% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 6.2% probability
- Jack Bostock: 6.2% probability
- Euan Aitken: 4.7% probability
- Brenko Lee: 3.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 48.1% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 37.6% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 35.5% probability
- Zac Lomax: 30.1% probability
- Ben Hunt: 28.9% probability
Dolphins Anytime Try Scorer Tips
- Jack Bostock: 38.7% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 37.7% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 36.7% probability
- Euan Aitken: 28.7% probability
- Brenko Lee: 22.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Dolphins game at WIN Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Dragons vs Dolphins NRL 2023
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Dragons and Dolphins at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: St George vs Dolphins
- Date: Saturday 1 April 2023
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEDT
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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