Dragons vs Rabbitohs Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 10, 2024
Last updated: May 11, 2024, 6:38AM | Published: May 5, 2024, 11:24PM
The Dragons will sqaure off with the Rabbitohs in NRL Round 10 action at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 5:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Dragons vs Rabbitohs game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Dragons vs Rabbitohs
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St George Illawarra-South Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dragons a 62% chance of defeating the Rabbitohs at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium.
More: Dragons vs Rabbitohs Simulated 10K Times
Dragons vs Rabbitohs: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $1.50, Rabbitohs $2.60
- Line: Dragons -5.5 ($1.85), Rabbitohs +5.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dragons at $1.50 and the Rabbitohs at $2.60.
The Dragons are 5.5-point favourites against the Rabbitohs, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Rabbitohs (+5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Dragons vs Rabbitohs sits at 44.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rabbitohs (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 44.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every NRL Match
Dragons vs Rabbitohs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Souths at $2.60
- Line: Rabbitohs +5.5 at $1.95 (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.95
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Rabbitohs predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Dragons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rabbitohs to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 44.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.95) that are available.
Dragons vs Rabbitohs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Rabbitohs at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday has the Dragons winning 23-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St George vs Souths on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Dragons vs Rabbitohs: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Rabbitohs try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Mikaele Ravalawa is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs South Sydney.
Ravalawa has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first try at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 53.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 10.8% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 7.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 7.1% probability
- Ben Hunt: 4.0% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.6% probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Izaac Tu’itupou: 6.0% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 5.7% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.7% probability
- Cody Walker: 4.4% probability
- Jack Wighton: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 53.6% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 45.8% probability
- Zac Lomax: 40.7% probability
- Ben Hunt: 27.6% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 22.4% probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 35.9% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 35.6% probability
- Izaac Tu’itupou: 35.6% probability
- Cody Walker: 26.9% probability
- Jack Wighton: 26.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Rabbitohs match at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Dragons vs Rabbitohs: Preview
The NRL Round 10 clash between the Dragons and Rabbitohs at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Saturday 11 May 2024
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our St George vs Souths predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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