Dragons vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 19, 2023
Last updated: Jul 7, 2023, 10:00AM | Published: Jul 2, 2023, 11:00PM
The Dragons face the favoured Raiders in NRL Round 19 action at WIN Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 8:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Dragons vs Raiders, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 19, 2023
Who Will Win: Dragons vs Raiders
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's St George Illawarra-Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 73% chance of winning against the Dragons at WIN Stadium.
More: Dragons vs Raiders Match Centre
Dragons vs Raiders: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $4.20, Raiders $1.23
- Line: Dragons +11.5 ($1.95), Raiders -11.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dragons at $4.20 and the Raiders at $1.23.
The Dragons are listed as 11.5-point underdogs against the Raiders, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Raiders (-11.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dragons (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 46.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
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More: Best Bets for Every NRL Match
Dragons vs Raiders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St George at $4.20 with TAB (3.4% edge)
- Line: Dragons +11.5 at $1.95 with TAB (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 46.5 at $2.00 with TAB (51% probability)
Our Dragons vs Raiders best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
We recommend betting on the Dragons vs Raiders game at Dabble, where you can combine our cutting-edge NRL predictions with tips from in-form punters. Create your Dabble account now!
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the 3.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Dragons vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Raiders at WIN Stadium on Friday has the Raiders winning 28-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St George vs Raiders on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Dragons vs Raiders: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Raiders try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Raiders' Albert Hopoate is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Canberra.
Hopoate has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Raiders star has a 48.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on Dabble, which you can then share with the Dabble community.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.4% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.0% probability
- Zac Lomax: 4.0% probability
- Paul Turner: 3.3% probability
- Mosese Suli: 2.7% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Albert Hopoate: 8.9% probability
- Jordan Rapana: 7.6% probability
- Hudson Young: 6.7% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 6.0% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 5.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 46.5% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 32.8% probability
- Zac Lomax: 27.3% probability
- Paul Turner: 24.8% probability
- Mosese Suli: 19.2% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Albert Hopoate: 48.4% probability
- Jordan Rapana: 47.5% probability
- Hudson Young: 42.7% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 36.1% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 34.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Raiders game at WIN Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Dragons vs Raiders: Preview
The NRL Round 19 clash between the Dragons and Raiders at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Friday 7 July 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for St George vs Raiders are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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