Dragons vs Roosters: Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2023
Last updated: May 19, 2023, 8:00AM | Published: May 14, 2023, 11:02PM
The Dragons take on the Roosters in NRL Round 12 action at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Dragons vs Roosters, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 12, 2023
Who Will Win: Dragons vs Roosters
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's St George Illawarra-Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 62% chance of defeating the Dragons at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Dragons vs Roosters
Dragons vs Roosters: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $2.60, Roosters $1.50
- Line: Dragons +6.5 ($1.80), Roosters -6.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dragons to win at $2.60 and the Roosters to win at $1.50.
The Dragons are listed as 6.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.80 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Roosters (-6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Dragons vs Roosters: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St George at $2.60 with TAB
- Line: Roosters -6.5 at $2.00 with TAB
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.85 with TAB (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Roosters betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Roosters have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Dragons are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Roosters -6.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Dragons vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Roosters at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium this Friday has the Roosters winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St George vs Roosters on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Dragons vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Mikaele Ravalawa is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Sydney.
Ravalawa has a 7.9% chance of scoring the first try at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 42.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 7.9% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.3% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 4.0% probability
- Ben Hunt: 3.8% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Jaxson Paulo: 7.9% probability
- Corey Allan: 6.7% probability
- James Tedesco: 6.5% probability
- Sitili Tupouniua: 6.1% probability
- Billy Smith: 5.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 42.4% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 29.8% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 27.3% probability
- Zac Lomax: 25.6% probability
- Ben Hunt: 22.8% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Jaxson Paulo: 42.7% probability
- Corey Allan: 37.1% probability
- James Tedesco: 36.4% probability
- Sitili Tupouniua: 36.0% probability
- Billy Smith: 28.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Dragons vs Roosters game at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Dragons vs Roosters: Preview
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Dragons and Roosters at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 19 May 2023
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for St George vs Roosters are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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