Dragons vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 4, 2025
Mar 27, 2025, 8:10AM
The Dragons will face the favoured Storm in NRL Round 4 action at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 82% chance of winning against the Dragons at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium.
Dragons vs Storm: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $3.00, Storm $1.42
- Line: Dragons +8.5 ($1.91), Storm -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $3.00 and the Storm at $1.42.
The Dragons are 8.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Dragons vs Storm: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.42 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Our Dragons vs Storm predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Dragons vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Storm at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday is the Storm winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Storm match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Dragons vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Melbourne.
Papenhuyzen has a 8.7% chance of scoring the first try at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, while the Storm star has a 50.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Clinton Gutherson: 6.4% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 5.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.9% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.3% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.4% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 8.7% probability
- Xavier Coates: 7.9% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.0% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.1% probability
- Grant Anderson: 4.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Clinton Gutherson: 40.9% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 38.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 38.5% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 34.4% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 26.4% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 50.6% probability
- Xavier Coates: 49.0% probability
- Will Warbrick: 46.4% probability
- Grant Anderson: 35.1% probability
- Harry Grant: 33.5% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Storm game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Dragons and Storm at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Saturday 29 March 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEDT
- Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Storm predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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