Dragons vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 17, 2023
Last updated: Jun 23, 2023, 10:00AM | Published: Jun 18, 2023, 11:15PM
The Dragons play the favoured Warriors in NRL Round 17 action at WIN Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Dragons vs Warriors, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 17, 2023
Who Will Win: Dragons vs Warriors
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's St George Illawarra-New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Warriors a 62% chance of beating the Dragons in Round 17 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Dragons vs Warriors Simulated 10K Times
Dragons vs Warriors: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $2.70, Warriors $1.47
- Line: Dragons +6.5 ($1.85), Warriors -6.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Dragons at $2.70 and the Warriors at $1.47.
The Dragons are 6.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Warriors (-6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 43.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+6.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.
Looking for a new way to bet on the Dragons vs Warriors match? Join Dabble today and follow StatsInsider to see our upcoming and recent bets.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Dragons vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St George at $2.70 with TAB (1.5% edge)
- Line: Dragons +6.5 at $1.85 with TAB (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.90 with TAB (54% probability)
Today's Dragons vs Warriors predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
We recommend betting on the Dragons vs Warriors game at Dabble, where you can combine our cutting-edge NRL predictions with tips from trending punters. Create a Dabble account now!
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option because of the 1.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Dragons vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Warriors at WIN Stadium this Friday has the Warriors winning 23-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St George vs Warriors on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Dragons vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Warriors try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs New Zealand.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 9.6% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 50.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on Dabble, which you can then share with the Dabble community.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.1% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.0% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.5% probability
- Ben Hunt: 4.0% probability
- Zac Lomax: 3.8% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.6% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 7.5% probability
- Wayde Egan: 4.3% probability
- Rocco Berry: 4.3% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 44.0% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 30.0% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 28.2% probability
- Zac Lomax: 26.4% probability
- Ben Hunt: 25.9% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 50.9% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 42.3% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 28.4% probability
- Wayde Egan: 27.6% probability
- Rocco Berry: 27.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Warriors game at WIN Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Dragons vs Warriors: Preview
The NRL Round 17 clash between the Dragons and Warriors at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Friday 23 June 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for St George vs Warriors are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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