Eagles vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 15, 2024, 1:15AM | Published: Nov 8, 2024, 5:06AM
The Philadelphia Eagles will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 11 action at Lincoln Financial Field on Friday, starting at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Eagles vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Philadelphia vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Eagles a 65% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 11 of the NFL season.
Eagles vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Eagles $1.43, Commanders $2.90
- Line: Eagles -4.5 ($1.91), Commanders +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Eagles at $1.43 and the Commanders at $2.90.
The Eagles are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Eagles and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 49-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Eagles vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.90 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 49 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Eagles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Eagles vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eagles vs Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field in Week 11 is the Eagles winning 27-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Washington game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Eagles vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Eagles vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Philadelphia's Jalen Hurts is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Eagles vs Commanders.
Hurts has a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Lincoln Financial Field, while the Eagles QB has a 56.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Eagles First TD Tips
- Jalen Hurts: 13.9% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 12.2% probability
- A.J. Brown: 9.2% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 6.3% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 4.3% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 9.6% probability
- Brian Robinson: 8.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 7.8% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 6.0% probability
- Noah Brown: 5.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Eagles Anytime TD Tips
- Jalen Hurts: 56.5% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 53.0% probability
- A.J. Brown: 42.9% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 31.0% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 21.6% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 43.6% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 37.8% probability
- Brian Robinson: 37.7% probability
- Noah Brown: 28.9% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 28.2% probability
Eagles-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Eagles' Jalen Hurts is projected for 230 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 187 yards.
Eagles Starting QB
- Jalen Hurts: 230 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 187 projected passing yards
Eagles Rushing Yards
- Saquon Barkley: 83 projected yards
- Jalen Hurts: 43 projected yards
- Kenneth Gainwell: 13 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 56 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 42 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 21 projected yards
Eagles Receiving Yards
- A.J. Brown: 72 projected yards
- DeVonta Smith: 58 projected yards
- Dallas Goedert: 42 projected yards
- Saquon Barkley: 20 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 14 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 71 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 37 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 30 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 22 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 22 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Washington match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Eagles vs Commanders: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Eagles and Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Friday 15 November 2024
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Washington predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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