Eels vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 6, 2023, 4:00AM | Published: Jul 30, 2023, 10:50PM
The Eels square off with the Dragons in NRL Round 23 action at CommBank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 2:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Eels vs Dragons, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 23, 2023
Who Will Win: Eels vs Dragons
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Parramatta-St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Eels an 80% chance of defeating the Dragons at CommBank Stadium.
More: Eels vs Dragons Match Centre
Eels vs Dragons: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at CommBank Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Eels $1.15, Dragons $5.50
- Line: Eels -16.5 ($1.90), Dragons +16.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Eels at $1.15 and the Dragons at $5.50.
The Eels are listed as 16.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.90 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Dragons (+16.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Eels vs Dragons is set at 47.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+16.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 47.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Eels vs Dragons game? Join PointsBet today and check out its comprehensive range of betting markets.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Eels vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $5.50 with PointsBet (1.6% edge)
- Line: Dragons +16.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (53% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Eels vs Dragons best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
We recommend betting on this Eels vs Dragons match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on more NRL markets than any other bookmaker in the world. Create your PointsBet account now!
While the Eels have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option because of the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Eels vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Dragons at CommBank Stadium on Sunday has the Eels winning 29-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Eels vs St George on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Eels vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Searching for Eels vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Arthur Miller-Stephen is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs St George Illawarra.
Miller-Stephen has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at CommBank Stadium, while the Eels star has a 52.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Arthur Miller-Stephen: 10.2% probability
- Sean Russell: 9.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 9.1% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 6.4% probability
- Will Penisini: 5.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 6.8% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 3.9% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 3.3% probability
- Zac Lomax: 3.2% probability
- Ben Hunt: 2.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Sean Russell: 53.6% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 53.1% probability
- Arthur Miller-Stephen: 52.8% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 42.4% probability
- Will Penisini: 36.9% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 39.7% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 27.3% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 24.6% probability
- Zac Lomax: 23.9% probability
- Ben Hunt: 20.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Eels vs Dragons match at CommBank Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Eels vs Dragons: Preview
The NRL Round 23 clash between the Eels and Dragons at CommBank Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Sunday 6 August 2023
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: CommBank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Eels vs St George are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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