Eels vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 5, 2025
Mar 31, 2025, 12:22AM
The Eels will take on the Dragons in NRL Round 5 action at Bankwest Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Eels vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Parramatta vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dragons a 58% chance of winning against the Eels at Bankwest Stadium.
Eels vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Bankwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Eels $2.40, Dragons $1.58
- Line: Eels +4.5 ($1.91), Dragons -4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Eels at $2.40 and the Dragons at $1.58.
The Eels are listed as 4.5-point underdogs against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dragons (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (+4.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Eels vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Eels at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Eels +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Eels vs Dragons betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dragons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eels to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Eels vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Dragons at Bankwest Stadium on Saturday is the Dragons winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Eels vs St George match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Eels vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Eels vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs St George Illawarra.
Addo-Carr has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at Bankwest Stadium, while the Eels star has a 54.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 10.2% probability
- Sean Russell: 7.2% probability
- Will Penisini: 4.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 4.1% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 3.5% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 8.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 7.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 7.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.5% probability
- Moses Suli: 3.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 54.6% probability
- Sean Russell: 43.7% probability
- Will Penisini: 32.0% probability
- Zac Lomax: 31.0% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 25.0% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 50.0% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 48.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 43.5% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 43.0% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 23.8% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Eels vs Dragons game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Eels vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Eels and Dragons at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 5 April 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEDT
- Location: Bankwest Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Eels vs St George predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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