Eels vs Panthers Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 4, 2023
Mar 20, 2023, 12:16AM
The Eels square off with the favoured Panthers in NRL Round 4 action at CommBank Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Eels vs Panthers, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Eels vs Panthers
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Parramatta-Penrith NRL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 64% chance of defeating the Eels in Round 4 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Eels vs Panthers Simulated 10K Times
Eels vs Panthers Betting Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at CommBank Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Eels $3.10, Panthers $1.38
- Line: Eels +6.5 ($1.90), Panthers -6.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 38.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Eels to win at $3.10 and the Panthers to win at $1.38.
The Eels are listed as 6.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Panthers (-6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 38.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (+6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 38.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Eels vs Panthers NRL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Eels at $3.10 with TAB (4.0% edge) 🔥
- Line: Eels +6.5 at $1.90 with TAB (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 38.5 at $1.95 with TAB (55% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Eels vs Panthers betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Panthers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eels to win is our preferred option due to the 4.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the TAB odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Eels vs Panthers NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Panthers at CommBank Stadium this Thursday has the Panthers winning 21-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Eels vs Panthers on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.
Eels vs Panthers Try Scorers
Searching for Eels vs Panthers try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Maika Sivo is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs Penrith.
Sivo has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at CommBank Stadium, while the Eels star has a 42.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Maika Sivo: 9.3% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 6.2% probability
- Waqa Blake: 4.4% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 3.7% probability
- Will Penisini: 3.7% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 8.8% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 7.0% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 6.6% probability
- Izack Tago: 5.6% probability
- Luke Garner: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Maika Sivo: 42.8% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 31.1% probability
- Waqa Blake: 25.1% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 23.1% probability
- Will Penisini: 22.9% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 41.7% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 37.1% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 36.0% probability
- Izack Tago: 29.9% probability
- Luke Garner: 27.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Eels vs Panthers game at CommBank Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Eels vs Panthers NRL 2023
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Eels and Panthers at CommBank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Game: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Thursday 23 March 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: CommBank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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