Eels vs Sea Eagles Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 16, 2023

Last updated: Jun 17, 2023, 7:30AM | Published: Jun 13, 2023, 3:31AM

The Eels take on the Sea Eagles in NRL Round 16 action at CommBank Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Eels vs Sea Eagles, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.

More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 16, 2023

Who Will Win: Eels vs Sea Eagles

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Parramatta-Manly NRL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Eels a 60% chance of beating the Sea Eagles in Round 16 of the 2023 NRL season.

More: Eels vs Sea Eagles Match Centre

Eels vs Sea Eagles: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at CommBank Stadium are shown below:

Head to Head: Eels $1.58, Sea Eagles $2.40
Line: Eels -4.5 ($1.95), Sea Eagles +4.5 ($1.85)
Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Eels at $1.58 and the Sea Eagles at $2.40.

The Eels are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Sea Eagles, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at TAB.

For the underdog Sea Eagles (+4.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Eels and the Sea Eagles have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 42.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

Looking for a fresh approach to bet on the Eels vs Sea Eagles match? Join Dabble now to get involved in an inclusive, social, and engaging betting experience.

More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023

Eels vs Sea Eagles: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Manly at $2.40 with TAB
Line: Eels -4.5 at $1.95 with TAB (50% probability)
Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.90 with TAB (52% probability)

Today's Eels vs Sea Eagles betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Eels have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sea Eagles to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

We highly recommend betting on the Eels vs Sea Eagles game at Dabble, where you can combine our cutting-edge NRL predictions with tips from in-form punters. Create your Dabble account today!

Eels vs Sea Eagles: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Sea Eagles at CommBank Stadium on Saturday has the Eels winning 23-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Eels vs Sea Eagles on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Eels vs Sea Eagles: Try Scorers

Searching for Eels vs Sea Eagles try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Maika Sivo is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs Manly.

Sivo has a 11.6% chance of scoring the first try at CommBank Stadium, while the Eels star has a 53.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on Dabble, which you can then share with the Dabble community.

First Try Scorer Tips

Parramatta Eels

Maika Sivo: 11.6% probability
Clinton Gutherson: 8.2% probability
Sean Russell: 7.1% probability
Bailey Simonsson: 5.3% probability
Will Penisini: 4.5% probability

Manly Sea Eagles

Jason Saab: 7.6% probability
Christian Tuipulotu: 6.1% probability
Tolutau Koula: 4.4% probability
Reuben Garrick: 4.3% probability
Haumole Olakau'atu: 4.2% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Parramatta Eels

Maika Sivo: 53.7% probability
Clinton Gutherson: 43.1% probability
Sean Russell: 41.4% probability
Bailey Simonsson: 31.3% probability
Will Penisini: 27.9% probability

Manly Sea Eagles

Jason Saab: 41.9% probability
Christian Tuipulotu: 34.4% probability
Reuben Garrick: 28.6% probability
Haumole Olakau'atu: 27.5% probability
Tolutau Koula: 25.8% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Eels vs Sea Eagles game at CommBank Stadium.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023

Eels vs Sea Eagles: Preview

The NRL Round 16 clash between the Eels and Sea Eagles at CommBank Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Parramatta Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles
Date: Saturday 17 June 2023
Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
Location: CommBank Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Eels vs Sea Eagles have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.