Eels vs Storm Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 1, 2023
Mar 1, 2023, 12:15AM
The Eels face the Storm in NRL Round 1 action at CommBank Stadium on Thursday, with kick-off at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Eels vs Storm, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Eels vs Storm
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Parramatta-Melbourne NRL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 52% chance of beating the Eels in Round 1 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Eels vs Storm Simulated 10,000 Times
Eels vs Storm Latest Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at CommBank Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Eels $2.00, Storm $1.80
- Line: Eels +1.5 ($1.90), Storm -1.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, BlueBet currently has the Eels to win at $2.00 and the Storm to win at $1.80.
The Eels are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.90 currrently available at BlueBet.
For the favoured Storm (-1.5) to cover the line, BlueBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 40.5 with BlueBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Eels (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 40.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Match
Eels vs Storm Best Bets
- Head to Head: Eels at $2.00 with BlueBet
- Line: Eels +1.5 at $1.90 with BlueBet (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 40.5 at $1.90 with BlueBet (54% probability)
Our Eels vs Storm predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eels to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Eels vs Storm Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Storm at CommBank Stadium on Thursday has the Storm winning 21-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Eels vs Storm on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Eels vs Storm Try Scorers
Looking for Eels vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Maika Sivo is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs Melbourne.
Sivo has a 9.1% chance of scoring the first try at CommBank Stadium, while the Eels star has a 45.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Maika Sivo: 9.1% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 6.0% probability
- Isaac Lumelume: 5.9% probability
- Waqa Blake: 4.8% probability
- Will Penisini: 4.2% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 8.6% probability
- Will Warbrick: 6.1% probability
- Nick Meaney: 5.0% probability
- Young Tonumaipea: 4.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 4.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Maika Sivo: 45.6% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 34.9% probability
- Isaac Lumelume: 33.5% probability
- Waqa Blake: 30.2% probability
- Will Penisini: 25.6% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 43.7% probability
- Will Warbrick: 32.2% probability
- Nick Meaney: 28.5% probability
- Young Tonumaipea: 27.4% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 26.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Eels vs Storm match at CommBank Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Eels vs Storm NRL 2023
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Eels and Storm at CommBank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Game: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Thursday 2 March 2023
- Time: 8:00pm AEDT
- Venue: CommBank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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