Essendon vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2024

Last updated: Jul 19, 2024, 9:01AM | Published: Jul 15, 2024, 2:07AM

Essendon will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 19 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Essendon vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bombers a 71% chance of winning against the Crows at Marvel Stadium.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Odds

The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:

Head to Head: Essendon $1.47, Adelaide $3.05
Line: Essendon -14.5 ($2.02), Adelaide +14.5 ($1.95)
Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.97, Under $1.92

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $1.47 and Adelaide at $3.05.

The Bombers are 14.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $2.02 available at Betfair.

For the underdog Crows (+14.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.95.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.97 for the over and $1.92 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and Adelaide have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 169.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Essendon at $1.47 with Betfair (71% probability)
Line: Essendon -14.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Over 169.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (50% probability)

Stats Insider's Essendon vs Adelaide betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Adelaide at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Essendon winning 92-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Adelaide match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers

Looking for Essendon vs Adelaide goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Adelaide.

Langford has a 7.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bombers star has an 88.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Essendon

Kyle Langford: 7.5% probability
Jake Stringer: 6.2% probability
Matt Guelfi: 5.0% probability
Nate Caddy: 4.8% probability
Harrison Jones: 3.7% probability

Adelaide

Darcy Fogarty: 6.5% probability
Ben Keays: 4.7% probability
Josh Rachele: 4.2% probability
Elliott Himmelberg: 3.9% probability
Riley Thilthorpe: 3.6% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Essendon

Kyle Langford: 88.4% probability
Jake Stringer: 84.4% probability
Matt Guelfi: 74.7% probability
Nate Caddy: 74.4% probability
Harrison Jones: 64.9% probability

Adelaide

Darcy Fogarty: 85.5% probability
Ben Keays: 72.8% probability
Josh Rachele: 69.9% probability
Elliott Himmelberg: 68.0% probability
Riley Thilthorpe: 61.6% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Adelaide game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Essential Details

The AFL Round 19 clash between the Bombers and Crows at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.

Teams: Essendon vs Adelaide
Date: Friday 19 July 2024
Time: 7:40pm AEST
Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Essendon vs Adelaide predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.