Essendon vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 13, 2024
Last updated: Jun 9, 2024, 9:03AM | Published: Jun 2, 2024, 11:53AM
Essendon will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 13 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Carlton
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Essendon-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 63% chance of defeating the Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Essendon vs Carlton Match Centre
Essendon vs Carlton: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.66, Carlton $1.59
- Line: Essendon +10.5 ($1.94), Carlton -10.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.92
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $2.66 and Carlton at $1.59.
The Bombers are 10.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.94 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.
The over/under for Essendon vs Carlton is set at 162.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.06 and odds for the under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+10.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Essendon vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.66 with Betfair
- Line: Essendon +10.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Carlton best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Essendon vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday has Carlton winning 83-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs Carlton on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Essendon vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Carlton.
Curnow has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 92.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.1% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.6% probability
- Peter Wright: 5.3% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.4% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 3.3% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 8.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 8.1% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.5% probability
- Tom De Koning: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 81.4% probability
- Jake Stringer: 81.2% probability
- Peter Wright: 77.6% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 60.7% probability
- Harrison Jones: 59.6% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 92.1% probability
- Harry McKay: 90.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 73.2% probability
- Corey Durdin: 60.7% probability
- Tom De Koning: 55.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Carlton game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Essendon vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 13 clash between the Bombers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Carlton
- Date: Sunday 9 June 2024
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Essendon vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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