Essendon vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2023
Last updated: Aug 25, 2023, 9:32AM | Published: Aug 20, 2023, 2:00PM
Essendon squares off with the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 24 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Essendon vs Collingwood, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 24, 2023
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Collingwood
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Essendon-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies an 83% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 24 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs Collingwood Simulated 10,000 Times
Essendon vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $5.30, Collingwood $1.23
- Line: Essendon +30.5 ($2.00), Collingwood -30.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $2.14, Under $1.81
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $5.30 and Collingwood at $1.23.
The Bombers are listed as 30.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-30.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs Collingwood has been set at 173.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.14 and odds for the Under at $1.81.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+30.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Essendon vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.23 with Betfair (83% probability)
- Line: Essendon +30.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 173.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (1.0% edge)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
These Essendon vs Collingwood betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 173.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.14) that are available from Betfair.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 24
Essendon vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday has Collingwood winning 99-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Essendon vs Collingwood on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Essendon vs Collingwood goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Collingwood.
Mihocek has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has an 89.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 7.1% probability
- Jye Menzie: 4.0% probability
- Sam Weideman: 3.5% probability
- Archie Perkins: 3.2% probability
- Nic Martin: 2.7% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 8.0% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 7.2% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 5.1% probability
- Daniel McStay: 4.9% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 87.1% probability
- Jye Menzie: 71.4% probability
- Sam Weideman: 63.4% probability
- Archie Perkins: 60.9% probability
- Nic Martin: 49.5% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 89.1% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 87.5% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 76.5% probability
- Daniel McStay: 76.5% probability
- Bobby Hill: 68.4% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs Collingwood game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Essendon vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 24 clash between the Bombers and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Collingwood
- Date: Friday 25 August 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Essendon vs Collingwood have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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