Essendon vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2024
Last updated: Apr 25, 2024, 5:02AM | Published: Apr 21, 2024, 11:51PM
Essendon will take on the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Anzac Day, starting at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Essendon vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Collingwood
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Essendon-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 64% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 7 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs Collingwood Match Centre
Essendon vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $3.35, Collingwood $1.41
- Line: Essendon +14.5 ($2.06), Collingwood -14.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $2.12, Under $1.82
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $3.35 and Collingwood at $1.41.
The Bombers are 14.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $2.06 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-14.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.12 and odds for the Under at $1.82.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+14.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 169.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Essendon vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $3.35 with Betfair (6.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: Essendon +14.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (57% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the 6.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
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Essendon vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday has Collingwood winning 87-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs Collingwood on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Goal Kickers
Searching for Essendon vs Collingwood goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Collingwood.
Mihocek has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has an 88.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 6.7% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.8% probability
- Kyle Langford: 5.5% probability
- Jade Gresham: 4.0% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.4% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 7.4% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 6.4% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.9% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.9% probability
- Nick Daicos: 3.5% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 86.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 81.6% probability
- Kyle Langford: 81.2% probability
- Jade Gresham: 69.7% probability
- Harrison Jones: 67.5% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 88.0% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 84.2% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 80.6% probability
- Bobby Hill: 77.3% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 61.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Collingwood game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Essendon vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Bombers and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 25 April 2024
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Essendon vs Collingwood predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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