Essendon vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2024
Last updated: Aug 4, 2024, 5:02AM | Published: Jul 28, 2024, 11:33AM
Essendon will sqaure off with Fremantle in AFL Round 21 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs Fremantle game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Essendon vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers a 58% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 21 of the 2024 AFL season.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.36, Fremantle $1.73
- Line: Essendon +6.5 ($1.97), Fremantle -6.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.04
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $2.36 and Fremantle at $1.73.
The Bombers are 6.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.97 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Dockers (-6.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.02.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.95 for the over and $2.04 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both Essendon and Fremantle have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 167.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.73 with Betfair (58% probability)
- Line: Fremantle -6.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (53% probability)
Today's Essendon vs Fremantle best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Fremantle at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is Fremantle winning 85-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs Fremantle match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Goal Kickers
Looking for Essendon vs Fremantle goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Fremantle.
Langford has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bombers star has an 84.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 7.0% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.5% probability
- Nate Caddy: 4.4% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.8% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.5% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 6.9% probability
- Sam Sturt: 5.2% probability
- Josh Treacy: 5.0% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.6% probability
- Bailey Banfield: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 84.8% probability
- Jake Stringer: 80.7% probability
- Nate Caddy: 71.8% probability
- Harrison Jones: 63.1% probability
- Jade Gresham: 61.6% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 87.6% probability
- Sam Sturt: 77.5% probability
- Josh Treacy: 74.7% probability
- Michael Frederick: 72.9% probability
- Bailey Banfield: 64.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Fremantle game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Bombers and Dockers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Essendon vs Fremantle predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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