Essendon vs Geelong Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 7, 2023
Apr 25, 2023, 2:21PM
Essendon takes on Geelong in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Essendon vs Geelong, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed below.
Who will win? Essendon vs Geelong
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Essendon-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 63% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 7 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Bombers vs Cats
Essendon vs Geelong Current Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.92, Geelong $1.51
- Line: Essendon +14.5 ($1.96), Geelong -14.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon to win at $2.92 and Geelong to win at $1.51.
The Bombers are 14.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.96 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Cats (-14.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs Geelong has been set at 174.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+14.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the 174.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
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Essendon vs Geelong AFL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.92 with Betfair (3.1% edge)
- Line: Essendon +14.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 174.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
These Essendon vs Geelong betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the 3.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Essendon vs Geelong AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday has Geelong winning 91-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs Geelong on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Geelong match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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Essendon vs Geelong AFL 2023
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Bombers and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Game: Essendon vs Geelong
- Date: Sunday 30 April 2023
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our tips for Essendon vs Geelong have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the matchup, giving you reliable and accurate AFL predictions that can help you make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For help with gambling-related issues, we recommend visiting gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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