Essendon vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 10, 2024, 6:33PM | Published: May 6, 2024, 2:45AM
Essendon will take on GWS in AFL Round 9 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Essendon vs GWS game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Essendon vs GWS
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Essendon-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Giants a 62% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 9 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs GWS Match Centre
Essendon vs GWS: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.64, GWS $1.59
- Line: Essendon +8.5 ($2.04), GWS -8.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $1.89
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $2.64 and GWS at $1.59.
The Bombers are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Giants, with odds of $2.04 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Giants (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 178.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and GWS have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 178.5 points has a 62% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Essendon vs GWS: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.64 with Betfair
- Line: Essendon +8.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Our Essendon vs GWS predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Giants have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Essendon vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs GWS at Marvel Stadium this Saturday has GWS winning 90-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Essendon vs GWS on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs GWS: Goal Kickers
Looking for Essendon vs GWS goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs GWS.
Greene has a 7.7% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Giants star has a 92.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.6% probability
- Peter Wright: 6.6% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.8% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.8% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.3% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 7.7% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 7.1% probability
- Darcy Jones: 4.7% probability
- Brent Daniels: 4.1% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 86.0% probability
- Kyle Langford: 85.3% probability
- Jake Stringer: 83.2% probability
- Harrison Jones: 70.0% probability
- Jade Gresham: 64.7% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 92.5% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 88.6% probability
- Darcy Jones: 76.5% probability
- Brent Daniels: 71.5% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 69.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs GWS match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Essendon vs GWS: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Bombers and Giants at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Essendon vs GWS predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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