Essendon vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2024
Last updated: Mar 16, 2024, 1:34AM | Published: Mar 10, 2024, 11:00PM
Essendon will play Hawthorn in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 1:45pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Hawthorn
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Essendon-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 51% chance of defeating the Bombers in Round 1 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs Hawthorn Match Centre
Essendon vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $1.92, Hawthorn $2.06
- Line: Essendon -3.5 ($2.12), Hawthorn +3.5 ($1.84)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Essendon at $1.92 and Hawthorn at $2.06.
The Bombers are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Hawks (+3.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.84.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs Hawthorn sits at 171.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 171.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
Essendon vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $2.06 with (51% probability)
- Line: Hawthorn +3.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
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Essendon vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Hawthorn winning 84-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Essendon vs Hawthorn on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs Hawthorn: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Essendon vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Peter Wright is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Hawthorn.
Wright has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bombers star has an 88.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 7.4% probability
- Kyle Langford: 6.3% probability
- Jake Stringer: 4.7% probability
- Jye Menzie: 4.0% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.5% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 6.5% probability
- Luke Breust: 5.9% probability
- Jack Gunston: 5.7% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 88.0% probability
- Kyle Langford: 85.5% probability
- Jake Stringer: 78.7% probability
- Jye Menzie: 66.3% probability
- Jade Gresham: 65.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 85.1% probability
- Luke Breust: 83.9% probability
- Jack Gunston: 81.5% probability
- Mabior Chol: 76.5% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 73.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs Hawthorn game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Essendon vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Bombers and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:45pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Hawthorn
- Date: Saturday 16 March 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Essendon vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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