Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2024
Last updated: Mar 30, 2024, 3:33AM | Published: Mar 25, 2024, 12:30AM
Essendon will face St Kilda in AFL Round 3 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:20pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Essendon vs St Kilda
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Essendon-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 51% chance of defeating the Saints in Round 3 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs St Kilda Match Centre
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.12, St Kilda $1.87
- Line: Essendon +3.5 ($1.86), St Kilda -3.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.92
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Essendon at $2.12 and St Kilda at $1.87.
The Bombers are 3.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.86 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Saints (-3.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs St Kilda sits at 167.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 167.5 points has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Essendon vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.12 with (51% probability)
- Line: Essendon +3.5 at $1.86 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
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These Essendon vs St Kilda predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
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Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium this Saturday has Essendon winning 82-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs St Kilda on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Searching for Essendon vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Tim Membrey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs St Kilda.
Membrey has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Saints star has an 87.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.8% probability
- Jake Stringer: 6.8% probability
- Jye Menzie: 4.8% probability
- Jade Gresham: 4.2% probability
- Archie Perkins: 2.9% probability
St Kilda
- Tim Membrey: 6.9% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 5.8% probability
- Jack Higgins: 5.5% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 4.0% probability
- Dan Butler: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 86.4% probability
- Jake Stringer: 86.0% probability
- Jye Menzie: 71.3% probability
- Jade Gresham: 67.9% probability
- Archie Perkins: 58.7% probability
St Kilda
- Tim Membrey: 87.1% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 81.0% probability
- Jack Higgins: 77.7% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 68.6% probability
- Dan Butler: 63.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs St Kilda match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Essendon vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:20pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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