Essendon vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2024
Last updated: Aug 16, 2024, 9:36AM | Published: Aug 11, 2024, 10:50AM
Essendon will sqaure off with Sydney in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs Sydney game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 53% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 23 of the 2024 AFL season.
Essendon vs Sydney: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.42, Sydney $1.72
- Line: Essendon +4.5 ($2.02), Sydney -4.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.06
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $2.42. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has Sydney at $1.72.
The Bombers are listed as 4.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $2.02 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Swans (-4.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.95.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.90 for the over and $2.06 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+4.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 62% of the time.
Essendon vs Sydney: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.42 with Betfair (5.7% edge) 🔥
- Line: Essendon +4.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Essendon vs Sydney betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the 5.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Essendon vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Sydney at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Sydney winning 86-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Sydney match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Essendon vs Sydney: Goal Scorers
Searching for Essendon vs Sydney goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Sydney.
Langford has a 6.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bombers star has an 85.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.4% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.7% probability
- Nate Caddy: 4.4% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.7% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.3% probability
Sydney
- Joel Amartey: 5.7% probability
- Will Hayward: 5.1% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 5.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 4.9% probability
- Hayden McLean: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 85.7% probability
- Jake Stringer: 82.2% probability
- Nate Caddy: 73.9% probability
- Harrison Jones: 64.0% probability
- Jade Gresham: 63.0% probability
Sydney
- Joel Amartey: 82.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 79.6% probability
- Will Hayward: 79.0% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 73.9% probability
- Hayden McLean: 70.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Sydney match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Sydney: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Bombers and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
If you're betting from the United States, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" now!
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Sydney predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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