Essendon vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2023
Last updated: Jul 21, 2023, 9:50AM | Published: Jul 17, 2023, 1:20AM
Essendon plays the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 19 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Essendon vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds, are detailed below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 19, 2023
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Western Bulldogs
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Essendon-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Bulldogs a 58% chance of defeating the Bombers in Round 19 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $2.54, Bulldogs $1.64
- Line: Essendon +8.5 ($1.96), Bulldogs -8.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $2.54 and the Bulldogs at $1.64.
The Bombers are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.96 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs Western Bulldogs has been set at 172.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 172.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
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Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.54 with Betfair (2.5% edge)
- Line: Essendon +8.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 172.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (0.5% edge)
These Essendon vs Western Bulldogs predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the 2.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 172.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.08) that are available from Betfair.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 19
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Friday has the Bulldogs winning 88-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs Western Bulldogs on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs Bulldogs match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Bombers and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 21 July 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Essendon vs Bulldogs have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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